Three years ago, today Capitol Hill was assaulted by thousands of MAGA supporters. Because of that I started my series “Today in America.” Let’s talk about it.
Three years later, the “big lie” continues
I remember it like it was yesterday. The horrific images of a mob assaulting Capitol Hill, fighting Capitol Police, smashing the windows, the gallows along people chanting “hang Mike Pence” – who was Trump’s Vice President at the time. These images were broadcasted live on TV around the world, as they were also live streamed by many insurrectionists themselves.
As the events were unfolding, I was writing my first “Today in America” article as a chronicle of what I was witnessing in real time. I invite you to read the article at the following link if you haven’t seen it yet – before you continue with the current article. If you decide to read it later, that is fine also – but by reading it, it will give you more context as I update about what has been going on in these last three years in connection to that dark day in American History.
Image credit NBC YouTube channel. Capitol Hill 06 JAN 2021
For more context read my original January 6th Article
The start to my "Today in America" series
As I was reading back my words from that day – my sentiment has not changed at all. I was just as disappointed that day as I am today. In fact, perhaps I am even more disappointed today because there is a copious number of voters who: a) have no idea about what happened that day, and b) they know what happened, and think it is very much justified.
And that either one of those is not good news at all for our country. But it is very convenient to other regimes who do not want America to remain the number one nation on the world-stage.
The denial of the 2020 presidential election is commonly referred by the “Big Lie” – and that is likely the way it will be designated as in future history books. The 2020 election was not “stolen” and it was not “rigged” as Trump and his supporters would assert. And they have tried it in numerous ways to set forth that narrative. In every legal case the claims about the 2020 election from being stolen, and legitimizing Trump as the winner has failed. That includes cases were Trump-appointed judges around the country ruled against him.
Did Trump get the most votes of any sitting US President ever? Yes, he did. But there were millions more voters who voted him out of office. And that includes copious amounts of Republican voters. Despite all the legal cases, lawsuits, investigations, recounts, etc. Trump was never able to proof election fraud to be the cause for his defeat. However, there have been thousands of cases combined against him and his followers in connection to try to change the outcome of the 2020 election.
At some point, no matter how fervently we like a person (like Trump fans), the numbers are simply not on their favor. And think about this for a moment. Many MAGA Republicans (please note that not all MAGA are fully convinced of this lie, and not all Republicans are MAGA) were perfectly ok about not contesting electoral fraud on elections they won. But they were very much calling foul for elections, and they were defeated. Conversely, all blue contenders who were defeated in that election conceded. Keep this in mind as we continue this dialog.
The critical question we should arrive to is: “Who has the most to lose if Trump was not to be elected?” The country “survived” and even thrived under the Biden administration – regardless of whether you like the guy or not. It has even been good for business. It is not perfect – there is plenty left to do. But I for one am very happy not having to wake up to a twitter storm. And yes “mean tweets” against targeted private citizens is not acceptable coming from the highest office on the planet.
So, the question remains. Who had the most to lose if Trump lost the 2020 election? Well, that is actually an easy answer. Trump himself. And he knew it. There were plenty of legal cases pending against him before he was to leave office. Many of those cases were not prosecuted while he was a sitting president (such as the findings on the Mueller report) because that was a guideline set forth by the federal government. By the way, he was found guilty under the Mueller report – he was not convicted because of the guideline I mentioned, and the at-the-time Republican controlled House and Senate saved Trump from being kicked out of office.
After the House of Representatives flipped in favor of the Democrats, Trump was impeached – twice for two additional high crimes and misdemeanors; and saved by the at-the-time Republican controlled Senate – twice!
No stranger to controversy
For many people who had been paying attention objectively, the Trump Presidency was bizarre at best, and extremely polemic at worst. And by polemic, I mean that there was never a day were a career-ending scandal did not dominate the headlines. It became so common place that people got oversaturated with negative information about Trump. Trump and his acolytes also used this as a catalyst to excite his base – the higher the polemic, the more he would double or triple down. This perceived “martyrdom” is a very powerful tool to exploit certain biases.
But objectively, if Biden or anybody else for that matter would have done 1/1,000,000th of what Trump was getting away with – the entire right-wing media ecosystem that favors Trump would have called Biden (or any other dissenter) out on that. But for the court of public opinion, redacting particular stories is simply the status quo nowadays. Many people don’t tune in to watch something that disagrees with their worldview. The loyal eyeballs are more interested in getting more of what they come to accept as true – regardless of if it is factual or not.
And this is why it is important to understand the MAGA mentality at this point in history. Trump is NOT who is leading the MAGA movement, contrary to what many would think. There are a lot of other interested parties who are using Trump as the figure head who will spout all kinds of things that excites the base. THAT base, THAT is what they are after. The MAGA Republicans are divided in two main segments. And from those there are a lot more subtleties. But that would take me days to go through. So, this is a good starting point. Let’s explore:
Trump Supporters erected a Gallows outside Capitol Hill on January 6, 2021
Two Types of MAGA Republicans:
If you have read my articles for a while, then you have likely seen that I am not a fan of treating anybody with disrespect. That includes MAGA Republicans. I’ve met a bunch of them, and they do have their heart in the right place. We can disagree on policy, but we can generally agree on what is good for the country. Others are just very unsavory people and have more of a “debate me bro” attitude than actually trying to find a solution that is good for the country.
What they have in common is that for some reason they find Trump appealing. With that context let’s delve into what we are seeing here. This is my own analysis, and I illustrate it in a manner that is intended to make better sense to the reader.
MAGA Type 1 – Honest to goodness Patriotic good people who actually want the best for the country.
We all have biases. It is part of being human. However, if those biases are exploited, then somebody can take advantage of our otherwise good intentions. If that ever happens to you, don’t feel bad – it is designed to be that way. And those perpetrators are very good at what they do. And what they do is turn good values into a narrative that is actually self-destructive.
Before I continue, let me emphasize that this variety of MAGA is less likely to remain loyal to Trump. Why? Because at some point they realize that some of the narratives sent their way are not as accurate as they were led to believe. In other words, they feel betrayed, and their devotion turns on its head and suddenly they become very vocal dissenters from Trump. What causes them to turn against Trump? Depends on the person. But the common denominator is that they will be as vocal against MAGA as they were vocal in support of MAGA once they decided they are out of that club.
Being MAGA does not mean that a person is unintelligent, but they do have a proclivity to choose one side a lot more fervently. For example, very unlikely you will see a person being draped head to toe with Biden merch. Sure, you might see a few, but never at the scale and scope as you see MAGA regalia all over the place. And that MAGA merch tends to be expensive.
I have to emphasize that many ex-MAGA started their journey out of that movement once they stopped listening to what Trump or his acolytes were saying – and pragmatically started “challenging” what the non-MAGAS (including other Republicans) were advising. Which as simply “hey, there is a lot of official information posted in the public domain, read it and find out what they are saying.”
Many who (albeit reluctantly) actually read through the paperwork realized the obvious. A lot of important details were [perhaps] conveniently left off on any of their outlets or choices. Being TV, pundits, influencers, podcasters, whatever. And as they attempted to refute that information objectively, they realized that there was so much more data that was contradicting a lot of the narratives fed to them for years.
This is not an easy process for anybody to accept. Actually, it can be very traumatic. That is why whenever a person “hits a nerve” on during a conversation with a MAGA republican, they tend to more from the defensive into the offensive very quickly. Often using name calling, condescending epithets (such as cupcake, honey, sweetie, etc.), and suddenly shift towards a non sequitur to state “what about this or the other” – often unrelated to the topic at hand – and coincidentally, a repetition of a buzz phrase that they were fed before as an argument point.
However, when those arguments cannot be held to scrutiny, this will be very traumatic to them. It is meant and designed to be that way when the information was implanted on their minds in the first place. People hate to be told they are wrong and will immediately gravitate towards their echo-chamber to regain that “sanity check” they desperately need as part of a confirmation bias, they might not see it as such, but that is exactly what is happening. “Somebody said something I agree with, I’ll use this as a narrative counterpoint” – I’ve seen it thousands of times.
I’m not intending to change their minds, but when the conversations happen in a public forum such as social media – other people do pay attention to the narrative, and they can see by proxy how valid or flawed an argument really is. Most people will just look, but rather not comment, or even react with a heart, or like or whatever. But the crux of the argument resonates with them. Even if it takes a while for the argument to settle in their minds. Especially if this argument is now rocking their world. People need time to process.
This segment of MAGA has and will likely flip against Trump if they are afforded the opportunity to make decisions based on the merits, and not just limited to the strategically cherrypicked talking points deemed convenient by those in the second group as described below.
MAGA Type 2 – Opportunistic people who are actively pushing a nefarious agenda that is actually eroding the country from the inside out.
Some of those who belong to this group do so wittingly, others unwittingly. I would argue that the second group is more dangerous, because they have convinced themselves that any dissenting option should be discarded outright, regardless of factual merits. These become the perfect vehicle to become the muscle and loyal soldiers to run with a narrative. What they have not realized (yet) is that this devotion is indeed disposable.
The witting group definitely know that what they are doing or advocating for can be clearly divorced from the truth and in many cases illegal. There is a reason why Trump has 90+ criminal charges against him. And no, it is not because of the mean tweets. Although that type of sophomoric behavior is also well below the prestige of the Office of the Presidency of the United Sates of America.
Surprisingly or unsurprisingly to some, Trump himself is likely not part of the higher echelons of his own MAGA movement. Some people would say that is nonsensical – but as I mentioned before, Trump is the figure head – but strategy is not his strong suit, but he is surrounded by people who can directly or indirectly take a full advantage of his clout. Despite what anybody might have perceived in the MAGA universe, Trump is not a one-man show. There is a gigantic team who help him drive the MAGA narrative. Trump himself is disposable.
What Trump was able to forge is a movement that is way bigger than him. For better or worse, it has not been without controversy. Why do you think that is? Well, if all the indictments, the impeachments, and the many controversies tell you something – it is obvious that he is not going to play by the rules (to include the rule of law). And that is [sadly] very enticing for a big segment of his base.
People on this group might end up being disloyal to Trump at some point – but they will be very loyal to the ideology behind MAGA. Trump himself has set that standard. He had disavowed hundreds of supporters whenever they became inconvenient. We have seen that on live television, on his “mean tweets” and many other platforms – such as the rallies.
Do you think he is able to orchestrate all those events by himself? Obviously not, he has teams to put that together. So, there is a vested interest in getting MAGA as a strong brand. There is plenty of money to be made for each and every one of those appearances. And the crazy amounts of merch are only a small fraction of everything else.
Just do yourself a favor. Google “MAGA Merch” and see how much all that cost. Then do a “Biden Merch” – and you will see plenty of MAGA merch being disparaging to Biden. Who do you think buys all that stuff? Obviously, a Biden supporter is not going to spend the 40 bucks on a sweatshirt that is depicting him in a disparaging manner. Also, by the way – a lot of that merch is actually made overseas. Even though some might have a “Made in USA” label.
I’ve never attended his rallies, but from people who attended – I’ve been told they are not free. And can range somewhere around $50 to $4,000 depending on what access you can afford to get. Add these costs, and it gets to be pretty penny to support him. If you attended a Trump rally, can you confirm this?
Perhaps some people think, how is it all relevant to January 6, 2021? Well, it is very much related because what I’ve described is the context that helped bring rhetoric into action. And despite what many would say to the contrary, January 6, 2021, was the date that marked an extremely violent insurrection. Some would call it a “guided tour” – and I realize it is very hard to listen to that type of narrative without wanting to understand how much misinformation and spin was needed in order to help them reach that [extremely erroneous] conclusion.
Bringing it full circle to January 6, 2021
As much as it pains me to say this, January 6, 2021, was a day of insurrection against the United States of America. And it pains me, because it did get worse after that, despite all the accountability that was embarked via law enforcement and other legal resources to bring those who desecrated Capitol and committed acts of violence to justice.
Over 730 people pleaded guilty, with about 170 convicted, and two acquitted (the latter only by a judge, but not by jury trial) in connection with the January 6 insurrection. That alone negates the “guided tour” narrative some have floated around. Trump himself is facing criminal charges due to his involvement on January 6, and of course is the reason why he got impeached for the second time – just days before he was supposed to leave office. Ever since, a lot of his allies have turned their backs on him. Afterall, for the first time ever in our lifetimes, we did not have a peaceful transfer of power in America.
But Trump did not act alone, he had huge teams working towards this particular goal – months in advance. For anybody paying attention, during his rallies, tweets, and other events, Trump would assert that the 2020 election was going to be rigged. Of course, there was no proof of that, but he did say that he would only accept the results if he was declared the winner.
Then it makes perfect sense why before the assault to Capitol he hosted the “Stop the Steal” rally in Washington DC. What do you think a name like that would prompt into attendees who travelled from all corners of the United States to see him speak?
Trump finally addressed the crowd at noon, but before that time his loyal supporters were listening to a bunch of speakers who were revving their discontent – and validating “the importance” that brought them to the capital that day – after traveling from all corners of the United States – largely at their own expense. Yet there were some Trump campaign donors, and even Alex Jones pledged $50,000 to the cause. But it is obvious that 50 grand is not near enough to make a dent on the gigantic amount of resources January 6 took collectively.
Some quick math considerations: -Lodging in D.C. (generally three figures a night) -Transportation to DC either driving or getting there (flights, caravan, whatever). Parking is not free most everywhere in D.C. -Transportation Inside D.C. from wherever their hotel or lodging was arranged -All the Trump regalia they draped themselves with (flags, shirts, hats, hoodies, etc.) -Meals -Time Off from work (vacation time / sick days / etc.) -Childcare (back home) for whomever that is commuting from out of area. And even if they brought their kids – they still need a place to stay while they attended the event.
I can go on but hope this makes the point. So, even thinking about the logistical nightmare that would be for loyal Trump MAGA supporters – imagine what it would be if those storming the capitol were “posing as MAGA” as some conspiracy theorists seem to assert. I can tell you that it is hard enough for Democrats to go out and vote, unless they feel it is very-very important to do so. They would not go out of their way to invest all that time in effort just to discredit Trump.
You can see the timeline of events for January 6, 2021 - Here
Credit to NPR for this report
A timeline of the Jan. 6 Capitol attack — including when and how Trump responded: NPR
But again, bringing this full circle. Democrats and many other Republicans simply did not want to give Trump another chance to sit in the Oval Office. The country was not better off when he was President – it might have seen like it was from the outside in like it was good but working for the U.S. Government when he was in Office, I can tell you that we had to do a lot of damage control every time he would go on a Twitter rampage. Although the current administration has plenty of room for improvement, at least I am not worried about what the next scandal will be.
And about scandals – there were so many under Trump, that even before we got a chance to process one, the next two were already making headlines. I’ve mentioned it before, and it is worth repeating. This creates a media oversaturation that hides in plain sight important indicators to a larger issue. Some of us who like to pay attention to that, then can identify when these “hidden issues” percolate and appear. That is one reason why I am not surprised about the geopolitical events that occur. That includes our domestic policy.
Fast forward three years, and Trump has won absolutely zero cases regarding his narrative of the election been stolen. 60+ cases spearheaded by Rudy Guiliani as his former lawyer. Guiliani not only lost every case – he had to file for bankruptcy due to a lost case for defamation. And to add insult to injury Trump never paid Guiliani for all his legal services on Trump’s behalf. Also, his legal team flipped on Trump and will be witnesses against him in criminal court in the next few months.
Fox News had to pay a 787 million dollars settlement for reporting that the election was stolen and blaming Dominion for this alleged irregularity. Whenever Fox News had to prove in court that what they were reporting was factual. They could not, because it was not true. Other far right news outlets were also required to fact-check themselves on air in order to avoid the lawsuit. Why did they concede to Dominion if they (these far-right news outlets) had actual proof?
The answer is obvious, there was no proof that the election was stolen. It has been recounted a bunch of times and researched to exhaustion. The only thing proven was that this was in fact the most secure election thus far. And that would actually give credit to Trump, because was technically under his watch. Therefore, talking about the election been rigged is actually a hit on his own record, because that would mean he did not do his due diligence to have a secure election. In other words, he is searching for a lose-lose solution. But fortunately, the facts are what they are. This was a fair election – and Biden defeated Trump.
It is worth repeating what I said three years ago. Republicans are perfectly fine showing up to rallies and buying tons of merch. Democrats generally do not do that type of stuff. They will show support by reading what’s available and showing up to vote in any convenient way available to them. Sometimes it’s in person – but during the pandemic the mail-in-ballot option was a lot more attractive to them. Hence, they voted in troves by mail. Trump could have taken advantage of mail-in-ballots, but he preferred to ask his followers to go out and vote in person. And that is exactly what they did.
They showed up to the polls in person – at least the ones who were not either dead or sick with COVID during election day. The Biden campaign probably already realized that advertising on any right-wing outlet – especially those MAGA consume was just going to be a waste of money. So instead, they advertised in outlets that would target democrats and undecided voters. It worked, the popular vote for Biden superseded Trump’s tally by more than seven million votes.
However, these optics make it counterintuitive for a lot of right-wing voters to ascertain that Biden had a following. Because obviously he did not appear on their television screens. Why should he? Was he going to be able to change any MAGA Republican Minds to vote for him in 2020? There was a better chance for a cargo ship to navigate on top of a bunch body-builder squirrels marching in unison on a residential street than for a Trump voter to vote for Biden. Hence, Biden chose places where he would be better received. It is a commonsensical strategy when you think about it.
Trump has never won the popular vote but was able to win the Electoral College in 2016. Democrats learned their lesson, because they were losing seats in the previous elections. And many could [rightfully] argue those were self-inflicted wounds. In either case MAGA Republicans endorsed by Trump did not perform very well in the polls in subsequent elections. That is of course a harsh reality many MAGA Republicans would prefer was not true. Sure, that is normal, nobody likes to be defeated. And as I said earlier, some of them really thought the country was going to be destroyed – yet here we are – there have been some records of how well it has been going – although there is plenty of room for improvement.
For many people in the United States of America, sadly today is not a very significant date for them. For some of us who are paying attention to what is going on (sometimes on their behalf), we’ve realized already what many who got turned off by Trump eventually realized. The difference is that we did not have to either go behind bars or lose a lot of time and money to become aware of it.
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Food for thought, and cult of personality advisory
This applies to Trump followers, but it could very well apply to any person to whom we develop a cult of personality. Trump can be charming and even funny to some. He might sound like he is “authentic” and even caring about others. But is he though? The same can be said about any person with whom you had a relationship of any kind that enjoyed your attention and devotion.
There is no shortage of people who have disavowed Trump, and I’m not talking about “Liberals” or “Progressives” or “Never-Trumpers” – I’m talking about hard-core MAGA Republicans. If you are a MAGA Republican reading my words right now, YOU might not be feeling that way towards Trump right NOW (and maybe even resent me for the time being). But it could very well be sooner or later that you will change your mind about him. Why?
Let’s do a quick parallel example to illustrate. Remember a time whenever you were hanging out with a person who had a lot of baggage, and your loved ones were warning you against hanging out with this person? What happen in the end if this person was indeed full of crazy baggage? Hopefully you realized what your loved ones warned you about time and time again. Yet, if you are a living-breathing human being, there is a non-zero chance you blew off all your loved ones and decided to hang out with this person who was clearly not good for you. It could have taken days, months, even years sometimes. But eventually, you got to see for yourself what everyone warned you about.
At some point, the indicators are just too many to ignore. No matter how much you truly adore and admire a person – the facts are what they are regardless of their love and devotion to them. For an extreme example, if your child goes and murders somebody in cold blood – you might still love your child, but you will have to come to terms with the fact that your child did something that cannot be condoned, no matter how much you want to justify it.
To a much larger extent, because blood has been shed by people who want to protect Trump’s rhetoric – yes, there are people with proclivity to violence who are just waiting for marching orders. That should be very disturbing to any person. The only group who wins if we descend into a civil war are adversarial regimes who want to defeat America.
Sure, that there is a lot of emotional baggage every time indictments, lawsuits, impeachment inquiries, criticism, and so much more is being directed at Trump. But that is not YOUR baggage, that is Trump’s baggage. Bluntly put, it is cause and effect. The difference is that it is put in black and white, and he is getting a level of accountability that did not occur in the entire time of his Presidency. Fast forward to today, and there is a huge number of people who understand the dangers of putting him back in the office. And I am not talking about Democrats saying this – this is coming from Republicans.
There is no shortage of Republicans who have a lot of following all over social media disavowing Trump and encouraging others to do exactly that. In fact, there are some who are even rooting for Biden on this election, because they feel that is the best course of action at this point in our history, and for our country. You’re welcome to agree or disagree with them about this. But the question should be “why are they going through such lengths?” If [on first impression] handing the steering wheel to the Democrats is not “on their best interest.”
Well, this is the truth, party loyalty is not everything. The best interests of the country are nonpartisan. Sadly, there is a very real threat of a non-insignificant number of MAGA Republicans who have a proclivity for violence. Most of the countries prefer not to give power to those few people who could do great amounts of damage to the rest of the country should they get unlimited power.
January 6, 2024, is a wakeup call that has been snoozed for three years. It is a call for people to understand what is truly affecting our political discourse, and if whomever is enjoying our loyalty, devotion and affection is the right fit for ALL Americans. Some might think that only “certain” Americans are to be in a privileged position – then that is not America – America is a land of equal opportunity and accountability for everybody based on their merits and their character.
I will finish by saying that the rhetoric of a 2024 stolen election by the Democrats is already floating around in the national discourse – mainly promulgated by Trump himself. Much like he did for 2020. That is propaganda, it is not true. The voters will decide in the end if Trump is given a second chance. That is if he can pass the Supreme Court case that is reviewing the Colorado decision to get him off the ballot. The case is going to be heard in the near future. And yes, Trump was removed from the Ballots in those states because of the January 6, 2021, insurrection.
I don’t want to think too hard on what the future will hold, but what I can tell you is that nothing that is happening has surprised me. I have my suspicion of what the US Supreme Court will rule – We’ll see if I am still right. My hunch is that it will be voted by party lines letting Trump stay in the ballot, thanks to the Conservative SCOTUS majority. If that is not the case, I would be very surprised. But if he is disqualified, I can only begin to imagine how divisive the next several months will be. HLC